Rolling Five-Year Development Evaluation Work Plan 2013-2014 - 2017-2018

April 2013

Table of Contents

List of Abbreviations

CIDA
Canadian International Development Agency
CDPF
Country Development Programming Framework
DAC/EVALNET
Network on Development Evaluation of the Development Assistance Committee (of the OECD)
ED
Evaluation Division
FAA
Financial Administration Act
GPB
Geographic Programs Branch
MGPB
Multilateral and Global Programs Branch
MOPAN
Multilateral Organizations Performance Assessment Network
OECD/DAC
Development Assistance Committee of the Organization for Economic Development and Cooperation
PWCB
Partnership with Canadians Branch
TB
Treasury Board
TBS
Treasury Board Secretariat

Executive Summary

The present Rolling Five-Year Evaluation Work Plan (hereafter, the Plan) identifies corporate evaluations scheduled for FY 2013-2014 to 2017-2018, with a focus on FY 2013-2014. Execution of these evaluations moves CIDA towards achieving evaluation coverage of 100% of its direct program spending as required by the 2009 Treasury Board (TB) Policy on Evaluation. The Plan also includes a list of Branch-led evaluations planned for FY 2013-2014.

In 2012, the Evaluation Division (ED) conducted an in-depth review of CIDA’s evaluation universe, with the intention of ensuring full evaluation coverage of the Agency’s direct program spending over 5 years. Approximately 12 corporate evaluations per year should be undertaken to meet the 100% coverage requirement by 2017-2018.

In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division proposes two pilot country-cluster evaluations in countries of focus: Mozambique/Tanzania and Ethiopia/Ghana, where there are sectoral and programmatic similarities. This approach will allow thematic review and comparison of lessons within clusters, while maximizing efficiency of resource use. In the future, the Evaluation Division proposes to conduct cluster evaluations based on thematic priorities for modest presence countries, and for regional programming, provided that the experience with these pilot cluster evaluations proves positive.

Planned Evaluation Work – FY 2013-2014

In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division will initiate and/or complete the following evaluations:

Equally importantly, the Evaluation Division will:

Resources

While an increased level of evaluation activity is planned, it will be within existing resource ceilings. This work plan will require an operations and management (O&M) budget of $2.2 million for FY 2013-2014, and a salary budget of $1.7 million for 18 full-time equivalents (FTEs).

1.0 Background

1.1 Introduction

The present iteration of CIDA’s Rolling Five-Year Evaluation Work Plan takes into account a range of considerations, including:

The scope and content of the Plan is consistent with the requirements of the 2006 Financial Administration Act (FAA) and the 2009 Treasury Board (TB) Policy on Evaluation. The Plan proposes an approach that will position CIDA to achieve 100% evaluation coverage of direct program spending as required by the FAA and the 2009 TB Policy on Evaluation, while contributing to the Agency’s learning and decision making needs and processes.

1.2 Context

In 2005, the Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness articulated a consensus on reforming donor and developing country approaches to delivering and using aid for better development results. The 2008 Accra Agenda for Action further built on the Paris Declaration by promoting policies and actions that improve transparency and accountability in strengthening aid effectiveness.

The Paris Declaration evaluation highlighted that most principles and commitments have proven relevant to improving the quality of aid. However, evidence gathered on the implementation of Paris commitments shows that while progress has been made, it has not been to the extent and pace envisioned.

The 2011 Fourth High Level Forum on Aid Effectiveness in Busan reaffirmed the Paris and Accra principles while highlighting ownership, results, inclusiveness, transparency and accountability. Furthermore, it responded to a shift from a focus on aid effectiveness to effective development cooperation, and it included a more diverse set of actors, such as emerging economies. The event culminated in the endorsement of the Busan Partnership for Effective Development Cooperation.

As part of the Government’s plan to return to balanced budgets through $4 billion in ongoing annual savings by 2014-2015, the Economic Action Plan 2012 identified planned savings of 9.7% from the International Assistance Envelope over 2012-2015. For CIDA, this will result in reductions of $152.7 million in 2012-2013, $191.6 million in 2013-2014, and $319.2 million in 2014–2015, and ongoing.

The Government of Canada continues to encourage departments to use evaluation to strengthen programs. In line with the Financial Administration Act (FAA), the 2009 TB Policy on Evaluation requires that 100% of direct program spending be evaluated over a five-year cycle. The TB Policy on Evaluation also suggests the use of flexible evaluation approaches guided by risk, scale, and scope. It requires departments to develop a strategically focused evaluation plan that is founded on an assessment of evaluation risk, departmental priorities, and government priorities. The expected results of this updated policy are a more robust evaluation function focused on value for money; accountability; and credible, timely and neutral information on the ongoing relevance and effectiveness of all direct program spending.

1.3 CIDA Context

In May 2009, Canada introduced five thematic priorities to frame its international assistance efforts: increasing food security, securing a future for children and youth, stimulating sustainable economic growth, advancing democracy, and ensuring security and stability. CIDA concentrates its programming on the first three, with environmental sustainability, gender equality, and governance as crosscutting themes.

CIDA’s Deficit Reduction Action Plan saving proposals were guided by aid effectiveness principles and developed following a rigorous process. The Agency considered programs and operations based on their effectiveness, efficiency, affordability, and alignment to government priorities.

In addition to implementing the decisions of the Economic Action Plan 2012 and adapting to new financial realities, CIDA is taking steps to put its operations and services on a sustainable financial basis. Changes at CIDA affect all areas of the Agency, and they will fall under two broad categories:

First, optimizing resources by:

Second, restructuring and streamlining corporate services and program operations to reduce operational costs by further consolidating and simplifying financial and human resources, and information technology and information management services. As well, the communications function will be centralized to ensure a more coordinated approach across the country. There will also be a consolidation of complementary activities such as Cabinet and Parliamentary Affairs, and evaluation and performance management functions, to maximize efficiency and effectiveness. In addition, program branches will be taking steps to rationalize their corporate and support functions.

CIDA is reducing its full-time equivalents to meet its projected budget levels. The Agency is making use of voluntary attrition and prudent vacancy management to help manage the reduction, consistent with workforce adjustment directives. The Agency is implementing efforts to ensure that the knowledge base and results achieved by programs and personnel are identified and integrated into improving ongoing programming.

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development's (OECD) peer review of CIDA, published in June 2012, confirmed that the Agency has made progress since 2007 in numerous areas, including:

Areas identified by the OECD peer review as important for the future of Canadian foreign assistance include anchoring Canada’s aid within the foreign-policy context, adjusting CIDA’s action plans to increase aid effectiveness, and completing the decentralization of program activities to the field. In addition, the review suggested continuing to make use of Multilateral Organization Performance Assessment Network (MOPAN) to measure multilateral agencies’ performance and contributing to joint evaluations within this network and through the Evaluation Network of the OECD’s Development Assistance Committee.

2.0 CIDA’s Evaluation Function

Evaluation at CIDA provides Canadians, Parliamentarians, Ministers, central agencies, partners, beneficiaries and CIDA’s management with credible, neutral, and evidence-based assessments of relevance and performance, including results achieved and lessons learned in developing countries, of the Agency’s policies, programs, and projects.

CIDA’s organizational improvements in recent years include bolstering the independence of its evaluation function by strengthening the governance and independence of CIDA’s Evaluation Committee. The committee is now comprised of six members from outside government and five CIDA senior executives (including the President, who chairs the committee). The Evaluation Committee acts as an advisory body to the President on evaluation activities.

CIDA’s evaluation function is governed by the Agency’s Evaluation Policy, which is being updated to reflect the new requirements outlined in the 2009 TB Policy on Evaluation. The policy and 5 year rolling work plan guide the Agency’s Corporate-level and Branch-led evaluation functions. The Evaluation Division leads the corporate evaluation function, focusing on program-level assessments of relevance and performance. The evaluations led by the Evaluation Division respond to the requirements of the 2009 TB Policy on Evaluation.

In 2012, the Evaluation Directorate went through a process of renewal to maximize the relevance and credibility of strategic information available for corporate decision making and to foster improved performance management in the Agency. The Directorate was integrated with the new Strategic Planning, Performance and Evaluation Directorate. The new Directorate comprises three divisions: Performance Management, Strategic Planning, and Evaluation.

Program branches lead and manage, alone or jointly with other donors, their Branch-led evaluations. The Evaluation Division provides advice and quality assurance throughout this process on a responsive basis, taking into account the evaluation risk and materiality. These evaluations cover investments below the sub-sub program level of the Program Alignment Architecture. Branch-led evaluations support decision-making, program and project improvement, mutual accountability and learning. While the results of these evaluations improve CIDA’s aid effectiveness, the primary beneficiaries are developing country partners. These Branch-led evaluations also serve as building blocks for corporate evaluations.

Corporate and Branch-led evaluations are integral to CIDA’s oversight function, while also contributing to learning and the adoption of better practices. The present Plan outlines both corporate and branch-led evaluations, including some multidonor initiatives.

The key responsibilities of both the Evaluation Division and program branches are outlined below.

2.1 Responsibilities of the Evaluation Division

The Evaluation Division is responsible for:Footnote 2

2.2 Responsibilities of Program Branches

Program branches are responsible for:Footnote 3

3.0 Developing the Work Plan

3.1 Challenges and key Considerations

Several challenges and considerations need to be taken into account in developing CIDA’s evaluation work plan for FY 2013-2014:

The present Plan has been developed assuming a level of Agency resources for evaluation in 2013-2014 equivalent to those in 2012-2013.

3.2 Addressing challenges

In order to address the challenges identified above, the Plan incorporates the following strategies:

3.3 Coverage and Sequencing

The Evaluation Division conducted an in-depth review of CIDA’s evaluation universe, with the intention of ensuring full evaluation coverage of the Agency’s direct program spending over 5 years. Approximately 12 corporate evaluations per year should be undertaken to meet the 100% coverage requirement by 2017-2018. (A detailed description of the Agency’s evaluation universe is found under Annex 1: “Establishing the Evaluation Universe”.) CIDA also consulted with TBS to determine its evaluation obligations in regards to the closing and sunsetting programs. It was determined that the Agency does not have an obligation to evaluate these programs, but could do so for learning or other objectives.

An examination of sequencing of evaluations was undertaken so that their usefulness and value would be optimized. As recommended by the Treasury Board Secretariat, sequencing was accomplished by considering a combination of needs and evaluation risks.Footnote 4 The needs component includes factors such as the contribution of the evaluation to decision making processes (e.g. renewal of the programming strategy or replenishment of funding to partner organizations and institutions). The evaluation risk component includes factors such as complexity and materiality (importance in financial terms) of the program/activity to be evaluated. The proposed sequencing of evaluations over a five-year cycle is outlined in Table 1.

3.4 Evaluations carried over from 2012-2013

Some projects are implemented over multiple fiscal years, usually for reasons related to evaluation complexity or unexpected delays. In addition to the planned evaluations described in Section 4 of this document, in 2013-2014 the Evaluation Division will complete several evaluations carried over from 2012-2013. These include:

Evaluation: Haiti
Expected Completion Date: February 2014
Rationale: Complex evaluation that has required extensive consultation with branches and other government departments and has faced some contracting issues.

Evaluation: Afghanistan
Expected Completion Date: October 2014
Rationale: Implementation was delayed due to contracting issues.

Evaluation: Indonesia
Expected Completion Date: October 2013
Rationale: Implementation was delayed due to contracting issues.

Evaluation:Pakistan
Expected Completion Date: October 2013
Rationale: Implementation was delayed due to contracting issues.

4.0 Planned Evaluations for FY 2013-2014

Given the variety of CIDA’s programming channels, the Evaluation Division has adopted a multi- pronged corporate evaluation strategy.

4.1 Countries of Focus and Modest Presence

The main emphasis will be on CIDA’s 20 countries of focus, where at least 80% of bilateral resources are spent. In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division proposes two pilot country cluster evaluations: Mozambique/Tanzania and Ethiopia/Ghana where there are sectoral and programmatic similarities. This approach will allow thematic review and comparison of lessons within clusters. The evaluations of Pakistan and Indonesia, initiated in 2012-2013, will be completed in 2013-2014. It is expected that one of the evaluation clusters, and one of the single-country evaluations, will be initiated later in 2013-2014 and will be completed the following year.

In the future, for modest presence countries, the Evaluation Division proposes to conduct pilot cluster evaluations based on thematic priorities, beginning with Sustainable Economic Growth (i.e. Cuba, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, South Africa). A cluster evaluation of regional programming (Inter-American, Pan-African, and South East Asia Regional Programming) is also proposed, given similarities in programming themes, regional architectures and executing agencies, and the potential for lessons across regions. The objective of cluster evaluations is not only to make better use of financial resources, but also to improve the effectiveness of evaluations, in line with the principle of aid effectiveness.

4.2 Fragile States

The evaluations of Afghanistan and Haiti, both initiated in 2012-2013, will be completed in 2013-2014. An evaluation of West Bank and Gaza will be initiated in 2013-2014. These evaluations will include consideration of the extent to which fragile state programming aligns with the OECD/DAC Principles for Good International Engagement in Fragile States and Situations. These principles direct international interventions in fragile states towards governance and state building for long-term stability.

4.3 Multilateral and Global Programs (MGPB)

Multilateral and Global Programs Branch provides support to a large number of international institutions and funds. The Evaluation Division has used a methodology aimed at assessing the development effectiveness of these organizations, using their own performance reporting and evaluation data. The approach, intended to be joint among donors, allows greater coverage of more institutions over a shorter period, at less cost to each shareholder, and with greater leverage for affecting needed changes. Uptake by other donors is slowly occurring with the review of the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) completed in 2013 with the partnership of the Government of the Netherlands.

Since the approach is complementary to the work done by the Multilateral Organization Performance Assessment Network, involving multiple donors, the Evaluation Division and Multilateral and Global Programs Branch intend to use that forum to promote greater buy-in for joint evaluations of multilateral development effectiveness in 2013.

In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division will conduct reviews of the Inter-American Development Bank, the United Nations Children’s Fund, and the International Fund for Agricultural Development.

4.4 Partnerships with Canadians Branch

Partnerships with Canadians Branch’s programming is organized around five thematic areas, corresponding both to its logic model and organizational structure. The following evaluation units align with this programming structure:

  1. Governance;
  2. Economic Growth and Environmental Sustainability;
  3. Human Development;
  4. Engaging Canadians; and,
  5. Knowledge Creation and Sharing.

In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division will evaluate programming in Economic Growth and Environmental Sustainability. Country program evaluations also cover investments by Partnerships with Canadians Branch.

4.5 Corporate Policy and Process Evaluations

In addition to performance information at the program-level, the Agency also requires information on the performance of cross-agency initiatives such as policies, thematic issues and delivery mechanisms. In 2013-2014 a meta-evaluation will be conducted to assess the quality of Branch-led evaluations. As well, the Treasury Board Policy mandated report on the State of Performance Measurement will be prepared. This report is expected to be produced annually.

4.6 Horizontal Evaluations

In FY 2013-2014, CIDA has been asked to participate in the planning and implementation of a horizontal evaluation of the Government of Canada’s Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) Strategy for the Canadian International Extractive Sector. This was foreseen at the time of approval of the CSR Strategy in March 2009. The departments responsible for implementing the CSR Strategy and conducting a review are the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada (DFAIT), Natural Resources Canada (NRCan), and the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA).

4.7 Evaluation Risk Assessment

Treasury Board Secretariat (TBS) requires that government departments and agencies determine the proposed five-year evaluation schedule based on identified evaluation needs and risks. An evaluation risk framework was developed in order to incorporate four evaluation risk criteria: political sensitivity; materiality; complexity; and context. The four criteria were weighted according to the rank of the associated corporate risk(s) in the Corporate Risk Profile.

In developing the evaluation risk framework and conducting the assessment, the Evaluation Division consulted both Treasury Board Secretariat (TBS) guidelines and CIDA’s Corporate Risk Profile. The evaluation risk assessment has been used to:

The evaluation risk framework, assessment methodology, and final evaluation risk ratings are reported in Annex 2.

5.0 Additional Evaluation Division Activities for FY 2013-2014

5.1 Support to Branch-led Evaluations

As mentioned above, Branch-led evaluations are “building blocks” to Evaluation Division-led Corporate-level evaluations. In addition, they complement Corporate-level evaluations by providing a more detailed picture of the Agency’s performance.

The Evaluation Division will be:

  1. including the evaluation plans of the program branches in the Rolling Five-year Evaluation Work Plan;
  2. providing technical advice and quality assurance on a responsive basis, taking into account evaluation risk and materiality; and
  3. ensuring that the new Agency Programming Process includes up-to-date tools and guides for evaluation.

The Evaluation Division is updating its tools in order to better assist program staff. The first step was to update the generic Terms of Reference, which are now available in both official languages. As a second step, the Evaluation Division will prepare a guide on how to design evaluations. A central database to house all branch-led evaluations that use the Evaluation Standing Offer Arrangements is in development.

In order to assist Branches and maximize limited resources, the Evaluation Division will be providing advice to programs on Branch-led evaluations through agreed upon channels. Furthermore, Evaluation Division will provide expertise and advice to support the development of strategic annual plans and the International Aid Transparency Initiative (IATI) Implementation Plan for Activity Information.

A synthesis of lessons learned from closing programs will be developed by the Branches to capture CIDA’s experience and inform future programming. The Evaluation Division will provide advice and support for this exercise upon request from the Branches. Finally, the Evaluation Division will initiate work on a new supply arrangement for external evaluation consultants and will consult with program Branches throughout this process.

5.2 Review of Country Program Evaluation Methodology

In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division will undertake a review of the current methodology for country program evaluations. The review will ensure the methodology is in line with best practices and standards in the field of international program evaluation.

5.3 Commitments in Treasury Board Submissions

Over the past few years there have been several evaluation commitments made in Treasury Board Submissions to obtain approval for major initiatives. Many of these major initiatives are sub-elements of programs. Four of the 11 evaluation commitments to Treasury Board Secretariat (committed between 2006-2007 and 2010-2011) are the responsibility of the Evaluation Division. The remaining seven evaluation commitments are the responsibility of the program branches. Table 2 presents a list of these evaluation commitments.

These evaluation commitments may be fulfilled through planned program evaluations, rather than conducting separate evaluations. The level of risk of such evaluations depends on the country, program and institution under consideration. The number of these evaluations is expected to decline in the future.

5.4 Optimizing the Learning / Knowledge Benefits from Evaluations

Evaluations at CIDA create a source of credible and neutral information, which feeds into strategic reviews, renewals of terms and conditions, Treasury Board submissions, the Report on Plans and Priorities, the Departmental Performance Reports, and memoranda to Cabinet. They also provide input that informs decision making on investments.

Though CIDA has traditionally benefited from an evaluative culture, there remains a need to better optimize the learning and knowledge benefits from evaluations. The Agency’s approach and work plan for the dissemination of evaluation knowledge will increase the visibility, accessibility and use of evaluation findings and lessons, both within and outside the Agency.

Since 2011-2012, the ED has been implementing an approach and work plan for the dissemination of evaluation knowledge, which seeks to increase the visibility, accessibility and use of evaluation results and lessons, both within and outside the Agency. A key element of the dissemination work plan is an annual report on lessons learned from evaluations. The report communicates key lessons derived from corporate evaluations and presents one-page summaries of the evaluations discussed. In December 2012, the ED launched its first annual lessons learned report, entitled CIDA Learns: Lessons from Evaluations 2011-2012.

In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division will:

5.5 Measuring the use of evaluation within the Agency

Building upon a pilot-test by Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development Canada (AANDC), the Evaluation Division developed and pilot-tested CIDA-specific tools to measure the use of evaluation amongst both program personnel and policymakers in the Agency. In 2013-2014, the Evaluation Division will revise the tools based on the results of the pilot test. The revised tools will be applied to generate a baseline assessment of evaluation usage. The exercise will be both retrospective (to measure past usage) and forward-looking (to improve future usage). Lessons gleaned from this exercise will allow the Evaluation Division to better target its evaluations and the dissemination of results.

5.6 Corporate Initiatives

Support and input will be provided to corporate-level initiatives, such as the Departmental Performance Report; the Report on Plans and Priorities; and Management Accountability Framework. Corporate committees and working groups represent a significant portion of the Evaluation Division’s workload. They offer mechanisms for knowledge dissemination, accountability, and influence on policy and program decision making.

5.7 Strategic Alliances

In Canada, the Evaluation Division will strive to maintain its good working relationship with the Treasury Board Secretariat Centre of Excellence in Evaluation and develop a stronger relationship with the Canadian Evaluation Society. Liaising with these communities of practice is important to maintain and strengthen Canadian leadership in evaluation, and provide the Evaluation Division with sources of best practices and lessons learned.

Internationally, the Evaluation Division will focus its engagement with the Network on Development Evaluation of the Development Assistance Committee (of the OECD) in order to further promote uptake of its methodology to assess the development effectiveness of multilateral organizations.

6.0 Program Branches’ Evaluation Plans for FY 2013-2014

Program branches conduct evaluations to improve the effectiveness of projects and programs that benefit developing countries.

The following section describes the evaluation activities planned by the branches during the FY 2013-2014 period. Branch-led activities complement the Evaluation Division’s evaluation work by providing performance assessments, monitoring data, and other relevant information.

6.1 Geographic Program Branch (GPB) – Branch-led Evaluations Planned for FY 2013-2014

Monitoring, evaluation and reporting is ongoing in the Geographic Programs Branch. The list below provides a provisional plan for FY 2013--2014.

Table 1: Geographic Program Branch (GPB) – Branch-led Evaluations Planned for FY 2013-2014
CountryInitiative
Americas
Inter-AmericanDeployment for Democratic Development
Inter-AmericanStrengthening the Role of Parliaments
BoliviaStrategic Governance Mechanism
CubaDevelopment of the Forestry Sector
ColombiaPlanning the Future
HaitiFormation initiale et perfectionnement des cadres de la Police Nationale d'Haiti (FIPCA)
HaitiSysteme de financement et d'assurances agricoles en Haiti (SYFAAH)
HaitiCrédit écolage
PeruMultidonor Basket Fund, Defensoría del Pueblo
Africa—Southern and Eastern
MozambiqueCommunity-Based Health Training Practice
MozambiqueSupport for Education Materials in Mozambique Phase II
South AfricaRegional Public Sector Training
Africa—West and Central
Regional Program in West and Central Africa (PRACO)Appui à la lutte contre la violence faite aux filles et jeunes femmes dans la région des Grands Lacs
République Démocratique du Congo (RDC)Renforcement capacités Banque centrale du Congo
RDCPROSAKIN - Réhabilitation des services de santé - Province de Kinshasa
SenegalCentre de traitement informatisé en microfinance
SenegalProgramme d'appui au développement en Casamance
SénégalProgramme de développement des marchés agricoles au Sénégal
Burkina FasoSociété d'acompagnement au renforcement des capacités (SARC)
GhanaDistrict Wide Assistance Transition Project (DWAP)
GhanaWater and sanitation project in Northern Ghana (NORST)
MaliFormation des professionnels de la santé
MaliAppui au Plan decennal de devéloppement sanitaire et social (PDDSS) (Nord-Mali)
MaliProjet appui au secteur micro finance au Mali (PASMIF)
MaliProjet d'appui à l'irrigation de proximi (PAIP)
MaliAppui aux filières agricoles au Mali (PAFA)
Europe, Middle-East & Maghreb, Afghanistan and Pakistan (EMMAP)
MoroccoProjet d'appui à la gestion des établissements scolaires au Maroc (PAGESM)
UkraineMunicipal Local Economic Development
UkraineEvidence-based Economic Development
West Bank and GazaSupport to Public Prosecution Services
Asia
PhilippinesGREAT Women Project
Sri LankaNational Languages Project

6.2 Partnership with Canadians Branch– Branch-led Evaluations Planned for FY 2013-2014

Partnerships with Canadians Branch has developed a Rolling Four-Year Evaluation Plan covering fiscal years 2013-14 to 2016-17. The Plan focuses on the implementation of thematic evaluations in programming areas of priority for the Agency. For FY 2013-2014, Partnerships with Canadians Branch plans to execute the following evaluations:

Partnerships with Canadians Branch will also execute the following project performance evaluations to meet specific evaluation commitments to Treasury Board:

During FY 2013-2014, pending the availability of resources, Partnerships with Canadians Branch will implement evaluations of the following elements of its programming:

6.3 Multilateral and Global Programs Branch (MGPB) – Branch-led Evaluations Planned for FY 2013-2014

Multilateral and Global Programs Branch engages in three types of programming evaluated according to distinct criteria.

Long-term Institutional Support

Canada, both as a member of the governing board and through direct consultation with the institution, participates actively alongside other donors in evaluation processes, including reviewing evaluations and providing direction on recommendations. Examples of evaluations being completed by our partners in 2013-2014 include:

Overarching assessments of key partners, such as through the Multilateral Organisation Performance Assessment Network (MOPAN), provide further opportunities for dialogue and comparison.

Global Initiatives

Each global initiative has a strong monitoring and reporting component. These evaluations generally take the form of a mid-term and final evaluation. In most cases, the evaluation is conducted by the partner. CIDA, and other donors, frequently play a role in the process but the relationship is supportive rather than prescriptive. In a few instances, CIDA conducts the evaluation. For example, as part of CIDA’s recent funding for the Micronutrient Initiative (MI), MI agreed to an external evaluation and this was completed in March 2012. Examples of evaluations of global initiatives taking place in 2013-2014 supported by MGPB include:

International Humanitarian Assistance

Although CIDA supports evaluations conducted by our humanitarian partners on their programming, CIDA also supports system-wide learning, to determine better how the humanitarian response system as a whole is meeting identified needs. The Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) conducts evaluations to promote transparency, accountability and learning through systematic and objective judgments about the relevance, efficiency, effectiveness and impact of humanitarian interventions.

CIDA also supports specific learning and evaluation mechanisms, such as the Active Learning Network for Accountability and Performance in Humanitarian Action (ALNAP). In almost all instances, CIDA’s NGO partners include monitoring and evaluation as part of the project – this pertains to both emergency response and complex humanitarian initiatives. In some cases, CIDA conducts an evaluation. For example, an evaluation focusing on results of Canadian Food Grains Bank programming was completed in 2010. In addition to real-time evaluations following a crisis, examples of evaluations being undertaken in 2013 include:

The list below provides a provisional plan for FY 2013--2014 evaluations for which the Multilateral and Global Programs Branch is directly involved.

Table 2: International Humanitarian Assistance
EvaluationEvaluation TypeStart Date
Gender Equality Institutional AssessmentsGender Equality Institutional Assessments2013-2014
Legal Empowerment of Women InitiativeProgram Evaluation - end of program2013-2014
Diagnostic Community Based Management of Malaria Control, Population Services InternationalFinal Evaluation2013
Advanced Market Commitments (AMC) vaccinesImpact evaluation2014
Support to GAVI AllianceMid-term evaluation2013-2014
Scaling up Nutrition Interventions (REACH)Mid-term evaluation2013
Catalytic Initiative / Integrated Health Systems Strengthening, UNICEFExternal Evaluation2013
EcoHealth Emerging Infectious Diseases IDRC/GHRIFinal Evaluation2013-2014
H4+ Accelerating Progress in Maternal and Newborn Health, UNFPAMid-term and final evaluation2013-2014

7.0 Budget

As indicated above, the Evaluation Division’s program of work will increase to approximately 12 evaluations per year, and maintain existing responsibilities to the Agency and the branches New efficiencies such as cluster and thematic evaluations, greater focus on evaluation design and greater use of in-house expertise, however, will allow the Division to respect the existing budget ceiling The work plan also over-programs by 20% to account for potential slippage in execution.

Based on past experience, some evaluations require implementation over multiple fiscal years due to complexity, contracting issues, or unforeseen difficulties arising from execution in developing and fragile states.

7.1 Non-Salary O&M

As shown in Table 1 a budget of $2.2 million is required for 2013-2014 in order to implement the proposed plan. This covers the costs of engaging external professional expertise, and other non-salary costs including staff travel and translation. The Evaluation Division will strive to improve coordination between Corporate-level and Branch-led evaluations in an effort to maximize resource efficiency.

7.2 Salary Budget

Evaluation Division has a salary budget of approximately $1.7 million and a staff complement of 18 full-time equivalents (FTEs): the Director, 16 evaluators and 1 administrative support staff.

CIDA Evaluation Initiatives (FY 2013-2014 to FY 2017-2018)

Table 3: CIDA Evaluation Initiatives (FY 2013-2014 to FY 2017-2018)
Proposed Evaluation InitiativesEval Risk Level5Total Direct Program Expending FY 12-136Program Operational Cost FY 12-137G&Cs Amount FY 12-138Internal Evaluation Resources FY 13-149 10External Evaluation Resources FY 13-1411 12Start Date for Planned Initiatives FY 13-1413Approval Date for Planned Initiatives FY 13-1414FY 2012-2013 Activities152013-2014 Five-Year Evaluation Plan2014-2015 Five-Year Evaluation Plan2015-2016 Five-Year Evaluation Plan2016-2017 Five-Year Evaluation Plan2017-2018 Five-Year Evaluation PlanEvaluation Approach, Design, MethodologyPerformance Measurement InformationConsiderations
Codes: E = Led by Evaluation Division; D = Dissemination / knowledge sharing; C = Support to the Corporate level
5 “low”=Low; “med”=Medium; “sub”=Substantial; “high”=High. See Annex 2.
6 Figures are in millions of Canadian dollars.
7 Figures are in millions of Canadian dollars.
8 Figures are in millions of Canadian dollars.
9 The amounts listed in this table cover only disbursements for FY 13/14, even for evaluations whose contracts cover more than one fiscal year.
10 Only evaluation initiatives for FY 2013-2014 have cost estimates. Amounts include all non-salary O&M (such as professional services, printing, travel etc.).
11 The amounts listed in this table cover only disbursements for FY 13/14, even for evaluations whose contracts cover more than one fiscal year.
12 Only evaluation initiatives for FY 2013-2014 have cost estimates. Amounts include all non-salary O&M (such as professional services, printing, travel etc.).
13 The start date refers to the initial planning stages. The end date refers to when the evaluation is published.
14 The start date refers to the initial planning stages. The end date refers to when the evaluation is published.
15 FY 2012-2013 is retained in the table in order to provide a more comprehensive picture of the evaluation universe. However, it is understood that the 5-Year Rolling Plan includes FY 2013-2014 to FY 2017-2018.
16 Shows multilateral institutions to be reviewed in 2013-2014. The sequencing of institutions to be reviewed in future years is tentative and will be firmly identified in future updates of the Plan, to reflect agreements reached with other donors on the sequencing of upcoming reviews under MOPAN and the DAC Evaluation Network Approach.
Asia Country Program Evaluations
Bangladesh Programmed67.561.7165.85      ED    Last evaluated in FY 2008-2009.
Indonesia Programlow20.691.8318.8650K200KJAN 2013OCT 2013EE/D    Country Program Evaluation MethodologyCDPF expired 2009.Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Evaluation was delayed because the program was being audited.
Vietnam Programmed17.101.3915.71      ED    Last evaluation completed in FY 2009/10.
Africa Country Program Evaluations
Mali Programmed81.281.5179.78    ED   E  Joint-Evaluation of Budget support interventions undertaken in FY2009-2010.
Senegal Programmed49.411.3748.04        ED CDPF expired in 2011.Last evaluation completed in FY 2010-2011.
Ghana and Ethiopia Programmed159.262.83156.42100K300KAPR 2013FEB 2014 ED   The evaluation methodology and approach will be based on themes that are common among this evaluation cluster, possibly food security and PBAs.Ghana corporate evaluation in the Risk and Results-Based Management and Accountability Framework for FY 11/12.Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Ghana was last evaluated in FY 2007-2008.
Ethiopia is a TBS commitment. Last evaluated in FY 2009-2010.
FY 2012-2013 Disbursements are as follows:
Ethiopia: 35.10
Ghana: 7.07
Tanzania and Mozambique Programsub111.111.51109.60100K300KAPR 2013FEB 2014 ED   The evaluation methodology and approach will be based on themes that are common among this evaluation cluster, possibly agriculture and transition to SEG as well as PBAs. Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Mozambique was last evaluated in FY 2009-2010.
Tanzania was last evaluated in FY 2005/06. Joint evaluation led by the European Commission for the budget support interventions in 2011-2012 and 2012-2013.
FY 2012-2013 Disbursements are as follows:
Tanzania: 13.44
Mozambique: 45.31
Darfur/Sudan Programsub50.451.9148.54       ED   Multidonor evaluation of Southern Sudan (led by the Dutch) completed in FY 2010-2011. Case study in the evaluation of IHA Programming.
Canada Investment Fund for Africamed       D ED    TB Condition: Mid-term evaluation completed in FY 2011-2012. A summative evaluation is planned for FY 2014-2015.
Americas Country Program Evaluations
Bolivia Programlow14.430.9513.49    ED   E CDPF expired in 2009.Last evaluated in FY 2012-2013.
Caribbean Regional Programmed35.461.7733.69    E/D    E RDPF priority for 2007.Incl. Guyana, Jamaica. Last evaluated in FY 2012-2013.
Haiti Programhigh59.073.4755.6050K250KAPR 2012FEB 2014EE/D    Fragile states evaluation methodology and approach, based on the OECD/DAC guidance on evaluating fragile states. Last evaluated in FY 2002-20032 Deferred due to earthquake. Corp. eval. in the Risk and Results-Based Management and Accountability Framework for FY 2010-2011, in addition to Branch-level eval. in 2009.
Honduras Programmed22.890.9621.93    D   ED  Last evaluated in 2011.
Colombia Programlow15.640.9114.73    ED   E  Last evaluated in 2012.
Peru Programmed19.910.5719.34    D   ED  Last evaluated in 2011.
Europe, Middle-East & Maghreb, Afghanistan and Pakistan (EMMAP) Program Evaluations
West Bank / Gaza Programhigh24.521.5123.0260K250KAPR 2013MAY 2013 ED   Fragile states evaluation methodology and approach, based on the OECD/DAC guidance on evaluating fragile states. Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Based on discussions with the program, evaluation deferred to FY 2013-2014.
Ukraine Programlow26.571.0925.48    E  ED  The Ukraine CDPF covers the period from 2009 to 2014.Last evaluated in FY 2010-2011.
Pakistan Programmed---50K200KJAN 2013OCT 2013EE/D    Country Program Evaluation MethodologyCDPF 2007-2015.Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Last evaluated in FY 2005-2006.
Afghanistan Programhigh90.813.8187.0060K300KOCT 2011OCT 2014EEE/D   Fragile states evaluation methodology and approach, based on the OECD/DAC guidance on evaluating fragile states. Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Last evaluated in FY 2007-2008. Evaluability assessment conducted in FY2011-2012.The total budget for this evaluation is $600k. Since the evaluation spans two fiscal years, $300k will be spent in FY 2012-2013 and the remaining $300k will be spent in FY 2013-2014.
Program evaluation in the Risk and Results-Based Management and Accountability Framework for FY 2009-2010.
Modest Presence County Program Evaluations
Benin, Burkina Faso, DR Congo, Kenya, Nigeria, Mongoliamed65.773.7562.02        EDEvaluation methodology to be determined based on common themes among this cluster, possibly Children and Youth and Food security. FY 2012-2013 Disbursements are as follows:
Benin: 1.70
Burkina Faso: 1.86
DR Congo: 2.41
Kenya: 3.66
Nigeria: 4.64
Mongolia: 0.13
Cuba, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, South Africalow58.533.1255.41       ED Evaluation methodology to be determined based on common themes among this cluster, possibly Sustainable Economic Growth. FY 2012-2013 Disbursements are as follows:
Cuba: 1.19
Guatemala: 3.55
Nicaragua: 3.39
Philippines: 1.93
Sri Lanka: 3.00
Egypt: 1.91
Jordan: 3.04
Morocco: 2.53
South Africa: 2.99
Note: Guatemala contributes to SEG through food security and rural development programming.
Regional Programming
Inter-American Regional Program Pan-African Regional Program Southeast Asia Regional Programsub59.781.5558.23       ED Evaluation methodology to be determined based on common themes among this cluster. Reg. Inter-American Program was last evaluated in 11/12. The ED may consider making IAP a smaller component of the regional evaluation.
FY 2012-2013 Disbursements are as follows:
Inter-American Regional Program: 2.72
Pan-African Regional Program: 9.63
Southeast Asia Regional Program: 1.96
Partnerships with Canadians Programs
Governancesub31.411.0630.34    ED   E   
Economic Growth and Environmental Sustainabilitysub69.931.7368.2130K100KAPR 2013MAR 2014 ED   Meta-synthesis approach. Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
The cost estimate is based upon ED’s experience doing other hybrid evaluations.
Human Developmentsub87.951.9286.04      ED    Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Engaging Canadianssub11.760.6011.16       ED    
Knowledge Creation and Sharingsub62.421.1461.28        ED   
Multilateral Programs16: Financial Institutions
Asian Development Bankmed81.80 81.80    E/D    E  Note that the current replenishment goes until 2016/17, but given the recent evaluation, it would be too soon to evaluate in 2015-2016 to feed into the replenishment process.
African Development Bankmed137.14 137.14    ED  ED  Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
In order to feed into replenishment process the evaluation would need to take place in 2016-17.
Caribbean Development Bankmed21.00 21.00       ED   Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
This evaluation should take place in 2015-2016 in order to feed into the next replenishment.
Inter-American Development Bankmed63.35 63.3530K100KAPR 2013FEB 2014 ED   To be reviewed using the approach developed under the guidance of and endorsed by the DAC/EVALNET.  
World Bankmed137.59 137.59       ED    
International Fund for Agriculture Developmentmed12.50 12.5030K100KAPR 2013NOV 2013 ED   To be reviewed using the approach developed under the guidance of and endorsed by the DAC/EVALNET. Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
MOPAN will be reviewing IFAD in 2013.
Multilateral Programs: UN Development and Humanitarian Organizations/Programs, Commonwealth and Francophonie
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)low1.13 1.13    D   ED  Last evaluation completed in FY 2011-2012.
Global Environmental Facility (GEF)low57.29 57.29       ED   Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Replenishment discussions will begin in the summer of 2016. The evaluation would be more helpful just in advance of replenishment processes.
World Health Organization (WHO)med23.46 23.46    E/D    E  Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Report completed based on results of the Multilateral Initiative pilot test, which used a methodology developed under the guidance of and endorsed by the DAC/EVALNET.
World Food Program (WFP)med88.77 88.77    D  ED   Last evaluation completed in FY 2011-2012. Moved a year ahead based on MGPB suggestion.
Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)med16.20 16.20      ED     
Global Fund for Aids, Tuberculosis and Malaria (GFATM)med160.00 160.00        ED  Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
The Global Fund is transitioning to a new funding model that significantly changes the way allocations, and therefore programming, is done. It would be beneficial to wait until evaluations are available under the new model as there would be no evaluation material available in the proposed period.
Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR)low            E  Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)low10.00 10.00      ED    Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
UNICEFmed11.60 11.605k JAN 2013JUN 2013EE/D    To be reviewed using the approach developed under the guidance of and endorsed by the DAC/EVALNET. Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
This is a joint evaluation with the Netherlands.
UNAIDSlow0.03 0.03         E  The current strategic plan ends in 2015. The new plan will be developed in 2014.
UNWOMENlow10.00 10.00       ED    
Commonwealth Institutionslow2.60 2.60       ED   Possibility of conducting the review jointly with other donors.
International Organization of la Francophonielow5.27 5.27       ED   Possibility of conducting the review jointly with other donors.
Operational Costs for Multilateral orgs is kept separate due to structure of CIDA not aligned with organizational spending 13.3113.31              
Horizontal Evaluations
Corporate Social Responsibility StrategymedTBD  TBD TBDTBD ED     The specific timing, responsibilities, and resources for this evaluation are to be determined. DFAIT will lead this horizontal evaluation.
Corporate/Agency Wide
Corporate Evaluation of CIDA’s Humanitarian Assistancehigh       D   ED  Last evaluated in FY 2011-2012.
CIDA Learns-   20k APR 2013NOV 2013CCCCCC   
State of Performance Measurement Report-   20k APR 2013NOV 2013CCCCCC   
Muskoka Initiative Thematic Evaluationsub          ED   A commitment in the TB submission to carry out a thematic evaluation. An Evaluation Strategy was developed in 11/12 to lay the foundation for the evaluation to be carried out in 2015-2016.
Muskoka Initiative Reviewsub         ED    The ED will conduct a review of Canada’s contribution to the Muskoka Initiative in order to report back to cabinet in 2015.
Support to Branch-led Evaluations (incl. Tools, training, Standing Offers and consultant referrals, etc)-   25k100kongoingE/SE/SE/SE/SE/SE/S  Provision of support and advice to program branches on Branch-led evaluations.Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Dissemination / Learning Approach-   20k0ongoingCCCCCC   Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Evaluation Committee Secretariat-   10k100KongoingCCCCCC   Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Other: travel, training, translation miscellaneous-    200KongoingCCCCCC   Evaluation activities for the upcoming FY.
Total Resources    690K2.6M           
Total Program Expenditures covered by program evaluations 2,166.7757.272,109.50             
Total of CIDA’s Grants and Contributions for 2012-13   2,884.82             

Evaluation Commitments to TBSFootnote 17

The table below presents specific evaluation commitments indicated in the TB Submissions that were approved between FY 2006-2007 and FY 2010-2011. It excludes evaluation commitments already completed.

Table 4: Evaluation Commitments to TBS
TB Submission (abridged title)Lead*Evaluation Commitments made to TBS and TB Conditions
Note: * PB: Program Branch; ED: Evaluation Division
18 The Afghanistan Evaluation was postponed to FY 2011-12 in order to ensure that sufficient information was available to conduct a summative evaluation.
Corporate/Agency Wide
1. Muskoka InitiativeEDThematic evaluation to be completed by 2015. A review of the initiative to be completed by 2014.
2. CIDA’s Humanitarian Assistance Program and Organizations and Pakistan Humanitarian Response (Dec. 2010)EDHumanitarian Assistance program evaluation was completed in 2012.
Country Programs
3. Afghanistan ProgramEDSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2009-201018 (postponed to FY 2012-2013).
4. Burkina-FasoPBSummative evaluation to be completed by 2015.
5. Canada Investment Fund for AfricaEDSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2013-2014.
6. Pakistan (Debt Relief)PBSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2013-2014.
7. Senegal (Education Sector)PBSummative evaluation completed in 2011.
8. Tanzania (Education Sector)PBMeta-evaluation to be completed by FY 2012-2013.
9. Palestinian Authority’s Justice SectorPBProject delayed; evaluation timelines to be re-determined once re-scoping approved.
Multilateral Programs
11. UN Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF)PBAn independent five-year summative evaluation was completed in 2011.
12. Micronutrient InitiativePBFormative evaluation completed. Summative evaluation to be completed by 2014. An independent formative evaluation was completed in 2011.
13. Canadian Foodgrains BankPBSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2011-2012. (Evaluation completed in 2010 due to accelerated disbursements.).
14. GAVI Alliance - Global Partnership for Education; Global Partnership for Education (GPE) formerly “Education for All Fast Track Initiative”)PBEvaluations to be planned and managed through the a) GAVI Evaluation Advisory Committee; b) GPE Monitoring and Evaluation Steering Committee.
15. Canadian International Food Security Research FundPBSummative Evaluation to be completed by FY 2014-2015.
16. World Food Program (approved July 2011)PBMOPAN review of WFP to be completed in 2014-2015. The Review of the World Food Programme's Humanitarian Assistance and Development Effectiveness was completed in 2012. To be also covered by the next Humanitarian Assistance program evaluation (2017-2018).
17. East Africa DroughtEDTo be also covered by the next Humanitarian Assistance program evaluation (2017-2018).
18. Global Malaria Program (WHO)PBSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2015-2016.
19. Scaling-up Nutrition through Integrated Life Saving Interventions (UNICEF/Helen Keller International (HKI))PBSummative evaluation (UNICEF component) to be completed by FY 2013-2014. Summative evaluation (HKI component) to be completed by FY 2014-2015.
Partnerships with Canadians Programs
20. Jules and Paul Émile Léger FoundationPBFormative evaluation was rejected due to quality issues during 2011. Summative evaluation to be completed by FY 2013-2014.
21. Canadian Francophonie Scholarship ProgramPBFormative evaluation was completed in 2012. Summative evaluation to be completed by FY 2014-2015.
22. Volunteer Cooperation ProgramPBFormative evaluation was completed in 2012. Summative evaluation to be completed by FY 2013-2014.
23. International Youth Internship Program (IYIP)PBFormative evaluation to be completed by FY 2012-2013. (in progress)
24. Canadian International Food Security Research Fund (Phase 1)PBSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2014-2015.
25. Canada Fund for African Climate ResiliencePBSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2014-2015.
26. Support to Aga Khan Foundation Canada’s initiatives entitled ‘Partnership for Advancing Human Development in Africa and Asia’PBFormative evaluation to be completed by FY 2013-2014. Summative evaluation to be completed by FY 2014-2015.
27. Canadian International Institution for extractive industries DevelopmentPBInstitutional assessment to be completed by FY 2014-2015. Summative evaluation to be completed by FY 2017-2018.
28. Canadian International Food Security Research Fund (Phase 2)PBSummative evaluation to be completed by FY 2017-2018 (NB: TB Submission currently with OMINE).

Annex 1: Establishing the Evaluation Universe

In FY 2012-2013, the Evaluation Division revised its evaluation universe to take into consideration the results of the Deficit Reduction Action Plan (DRAP). The number of units in the evaluation universe is based on CIDA’s program activity architecture (PAA) (FY 2013-2014), the Performance Measurement Frameworks approved by Treasury Board Secretariat, and the commitments made in Treasury Board Submissions.

Based on these considerations and following extensive consultation across the Agency, including with the Multilateral and Global Programs Branch (MGPB) and Geographic Programs Branch (GPB) management, the Evaluation Division arrived at a tentative Evaluation Universe of 52 units for coverage during the next five (5) years:

Table 3 identifies the evaluation units stated above. Through consultation with Treasury Board Secretariat, it was determined that there is no obligation to evaluate sunsetting programs.

In planning the sequence of evaluations, the Evaluation Division consults widely across the Agency to ensure that user and corporate needs are being met and that ongoing programs are being evaluated every five years as per Treasury Board Secretariat requirements. Importantly, the Evaluation Division ensures that the timing of evaluations feed into the key decision making processes, such as the replenishment of multilateral funds.

Table 5: CIDA Evaluation Universe: “Evaluation Units,” based on CIDA’s PAA Structure
Evaluation Unit NameNumber of Evaluation UnitsEvaluation Risk Assessment
Fragile States and crisis-affected communities
Afghanistan1High
Haiti1High
Sudan1Substantial
West Bank/Gaza1High
Humanitarian Assistance1High
Sub-total5 
Low-Income countires
Bangladesh1Medium
Ghana and Ethiopia1Medium
Mali1Medium
Pakistan1Medium
Senegal1Medium
Vietnam1Medium
Tanzania and Mozambique1Substantial
Benin, Burkina Faso, DR Congo, Kenya, Nigeria, Mongolia1Medium
Sub-total8 
Middle-Income countires
Bolivia1Low
Caribbean Regional1Medium
Colombia1Low
Honduras1Medium
Indonesia1Low
Peru1Medium
Ukraine1Low
Cuba, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, South Africa1Low
Sub-total8 
Regional Programming in Middle and low income countries
Inter-American Program, Pan-African Regional Program, Southeast Asia Regional Program1Substantial
Sub-total1 
Global engagement and strategic policy: Multilateral Strategic Relationships
Asian Development Bank1Medium
African Development Bank1Medium
Caribbean Development Bank1Low
Inter-American Development Bank1Medium
World Bank1Medium
International Fund for Agriculture Development1Medium
UNICEF1Medium
UNDP1Low
UNFPA1Low
WHO1Medium
UNAIDS1Low
UNWOMEN1Low
GFATM1Medium
GEF1Low
CGIAR1Low
Commonwealth institutions1Low
Francophonie institutions1Low
UNHCR1Medium
WFP1Medium
Sub-total19 
Global engagement and strategic policy: Multilateral and Global Programming
Health Programming1Medium
Sectors/Themes other than Health1Medium
Sub-total2 
Global engagement and strategic policy: International Development Policy
Corporate Social Responsibility and other policy-related evaluations1Medium
Sub-total1 
Canadian engagement for development
Economic Growth and Environmental Sustainability1Substantial
Governance,1Substantial
Human Development,1Substantial
Knowledge Creation and Sharing1Substantial
Engaging Canadians1Substantial
Sub-total5 
Treasury Board Submissions Commitments
Muskoka thematic evaluation.1Substantial
Review of the Muskoka initiative1Substantial
Canada Investment Fund for Africa1Medium
Sub-total3 
Total52 

Annex 2: Evaluation Risk Assessment

The Treasury Board Secretariat requires that government departments and agencies determine the proposed five-year evaluation schedule based on identified evaluation needs and risks. Therefore, TBS expects departments to undertake an evaluation risk-analysis exercise.Footnote 19

CIDA’s evaluation risk assessment is used for the following purposes:

  1. inform the allocation of financial and human resources for implementing each evaluation;
  2. inform the evaluation approach/methodology for each evaluation; and,
  3. inform the sequencing of evaluations to ensure appropriate distribution of evaluation risks across the five year plan, where appropriate.

CIDA’s evaluation risk framework (Table 4) was developed according to the Treasury Board Secretariat (TBS) guidelines.Footnote 20 Four criteria are included in the evaluation risk framework, namely political sensitivity, materiality, complexity, and context.Footnote 21 Each of these criteria has a direct impact upon the successful completion and dissemination of evaluations. The four criteria were weighted according to the rank of the associated corporate risk in CIDA’s Corporate Risk Profile.Footnote 22

The evaluation risk framework below (Table 4) describes the four evaluation risk criteria, their definitions, and the method of assessment.

Table 6: Evaluation Risk Framework
Evaluation Risk CriteriaDefinitionAssessment Method
23 The Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) ranges from 0 to 1. Alkire, S., J.M. Roche, M.E. Santos and S. Seth (November 2011) ophi.qeh.ox.ac.uk
Reputational RiskThe sensitivity of a particular evaluation to affect CIDA’s reputation and the confidence of stakeholders in CIDA’s ability to fulfill its mandate.The Evaluation Division assessed political sensitivity according to programmatic priorities and stakeholder interest as follows:
  • Fragile and Conflict Affected States were assessed as “High” risk.
  • Countries of Focus were assessed as “Substantial” risk.
  • Countries of Modest Presence were assessed as “Medium” risk.
  • Multilateral institutions were assessed as “Medium” risk.
  • PWCB programs were assessed as “High” risk.
  • Specific initiatives with high levels of public attention (i.e. Corporate Social Responsibility, Muskoka Initiative) were assessed as “High” risk.
MaterialityThe amount of CIDA’s financial investments in a particular program.Materiality was assessed using 2011/2012 year-end program expenditures, as provided by CFOB.
ComplexityThe difficulty of conducting an evaluation, related to the delivery modes used in the program and the availability of associated performance management data for evaluation purposes.Complexity was assessed using the best judgment of the Evaluation Division based on delivery modes (including humanitarian assistance), number of program units, and availability of performance management data.
Logistical ChallengesThe general conditions within the evaluation context that may delay or otherwise impede the completion of the evaluation, including socio-political situation, local infrastructure, security, conflict, and natural disasters.
  • For country programs, context was assessed using the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI).23 Evaluation units covering more than one country were assessed with an averaged MPI.
  • The context for multilateral evaluations was assessed as “low risk,” given the current approach that synthesizes existing evaluations.
  • The context for regional evaluations, PWCB programming, and multiple country initiatives was assessed as “Substantial.”

An evaluation risk criteria rating chart (Table 5) was also developed, as recommended by the Treasury Board Secretariat, to ensure consistent definitions of risk levels for each criterion. The evaluation risk criteria were matched with corresponding corporate risk(s) from CIDA’s Corporate Risk Profile. The evaluation risk criteria were weighted according to the rank of the associated corporate risk(s).

Table 7: Evaluation Risk Criteria Rating Chart
Evaluation Risk CriteriaCorresponding Corporate Risk(s)Rank in Corporate Risk ProfileWeightLow Risk (1)Medium Risk (2)Substantial Risk (3)High Risk (4)
24 Context risk assessments based on the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), which ranges from 0 to 1. Alkire, S., J.M. Roche, M.E. Santos and S. Seth (November 2011) ophi.qeh.ox.ac.uk
Reputational RiskReputation230%Low political sensitivity associated with program failureMedium political sensitivity associated with program failureSubstantial political sensitivity associated with program failureHigh political sensitivity associated with program failure
MaterialityFunding130%Low level of financial investment (Less than $20M/year)Medium level of financial investment ($20.1M-40M/year)Substantial level of financial investment ($40.1M-80M/year)High level of financial investment (Over $80.1M/year)
ComplexityModality, Perf.Mgnt.11, 720%Low degree of program complexity (delivery channels, modality)Medium degree of program complexity (delivery channels, modality)Substantial degree of program complexity (delivery channels, modality)High degree of program complexity (delivery channels, modality)
Logistical Challenges24Socio-Political- GE, Institutional Capacity, Natural disasters8, 6, 520%Context presents low risk (MPI 0.0->0.25)Context presents medium risk (MPI 0.26-0.50)Context presents substantial risk (MPI 0.51-0.75)Context presents high risk (MPI 0.76-1.0 or Fragile and Conflict Affected State)

As described in Table 5, individual risks were scored from low (1) to high (4). The scores from each risk category were weighted according to the ranking of the associated corporate risk in the Corporate Risk Profile. The final average for each evaluation unit was then calculated. These final weighted averages were assessed with the Evaluation Risk Scale (Table 6) to determine the overall evaluation risk rating:

Evaluation Risk Scale

Low Risk: (0.0 - 1.9)
Medium Risk: (2.0 - 2.9)
Substantial Risk: (3.0 - 3.6)
High Risk: (3.7 - 4.0)

Using the methods outlined above, each evaluation unit was assessed by the four criteria (political sensitivity, materiality, complexity, and context).

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